Private equity secondaries in 2024: market in motion
Our research details the forces and trends shaping secondaries.
In an illiquid world of private equity, the secondary market is how investors can cash out their assets without waiting for the fund’s life to end. This article dives deeper into the market mechanics and explores its many benefits - both for buyers and sellers.
In a nutshell - the secondary market allows private equity (PE) investors, also known as limited partners (LP), to make an early exit, liquidate assets or rebalance their portfolios.
On the other end, secondaries offer incoming investors a place to buy private equity assets years into their performance cycle and, normally, at a discounted price.
But before we look at these and other benefits more in detail, let’s examine how the inherent limitations of the private equity funds spurred an ever-increasing demand for secondary transactions in the first place.
A PE fund’s mandate typically lasts between ten to twelve years. In the first phase of the lifecycle, fund managers, also known as general partners (GP), will source deals and obtain stakes, partially financed by the LP’s paid-in capital. The investment period lasts three to six years and is followed by the so-called harvesting phase. This is when the fund manager starts selling stakes and generating profit distributions to investors.
If LPs want to exit their position before the end of the lifecycle, they can potentially do so through a secondary transaction. (Check out The timeline of a private equity fund for more information)
In a secondary transaction, one investor buys the ownership rights and assumes any remaining commitments, such as capital calls, of the initial investor.
Secondary deals can be structured in several ways, depending on the specific circumstances and stakeholders involved. Generally, we can segment them into three distinct categories:
This is the most common secondary transaction. It involves an existing LP that sells its assets to a secondary buyer. The buyer without prior investment in the fund then replaces the LP with all their rights and obligations.
There are different types of GP-led transactions with the ‘continuation vehicle transaction’ considered the most popular. This type of transaction involves portfolio companies (or a single asset) being transferred to a new fund vehicle that enables additional follow-on capacity and, hence, extended hold periods. Existing LPs have the option to either ‘roll-over’ or cash out the interest to a secondary buyer.
A direct secondary transaction occurs when investors sell a directly held ownership interest in operating companies. LPs will transfer their stakes to an existing investor and not to a new buyer. A direct secondary transaction is an opportunity to sell stock before the entire portfolio of companies has been sold.
Our research details the forces and trends shaping secondaries.
Our research details the forces and trends shaping secondaries.
Our research details the forces and trends shaping secondaries.
To price the stake involved in the secondaries’ transaction, buyers and sellers typically reference a Net Asset Value (NAV). NAV is calculated by subtracting liabilities from the current value of all investments, divided by the number of shares outstanding. In most cases. fund managers report NAV figures to investors on a quarterly basis.
Keep in mind that the final price of secondary interest is typically discounted. According to academic research, an average discount is 14 percent of NAV. The discounts are usually higher in downturns but can also flip into premium if the market heats up.
Finally, a transaction becomes binding and irreversible once legal agreements have been executed by both sides. Also note that in almost all cases a secondary sale requires the consent of the fund’s GP.
Secondaries can offer a valuable mechanism for investors to better manage otherwise illiquid private equity portfolios. Selling stakes creates a stream of cash that is ready to be deployed into potentially new investment priorities.
Along with the asset interests, sellers also waive any potential capital calls still outstanding, and, again, freeing capital for alternative strategies.
Additionally, many investors see secondaries as a way to rebalance portfolios or prematurely lock in gains from high-quality PE investments. Note, however, that liquidity in the secondary market is not guaranteed.
On the other side, by entering secondaries, inherently more mature PE assets, buyers can benefit from mitigating the effects of the j-curve. The famed diagram (see figure 1) indicates initial negative performance as capital is being called and later-stage private equity value creation as investments are being realized.
Since the secondaries’ investors enter later in the game, they may (partially) avoid the initial dip and enjoy higher annual returns in comparison to committing to capital calls from the get-go (the multiples, however, may be lower for secondary investors).
There are other potential upsides of private equity secondaries. For example, they reduce the so-called “blind pool” risks as investors put money in companies that are already known - in comparison to primary investors who commit capital to a portfolio yet to be constructed. This means that the secondary buyers have the advantage of analyzing the performance and calculating the future value potential of the underlying companies.
Investors looking for early liquidity have the opportunity to auction their Moonfare allocations to other members or our institutional partner, subject to demand.
Investors looking for early liquidity have the opportunity to auction their Moonfare allocations to other members or our institutional partner, subject to demand.
Investors looking for early liquidity have the opportunity to auction their Moonfare allocations to other members or our institutional partner, subject to demand.
In the last couple of years, secondaries have experienced robust growth. Even after the pandemic slashed markets in the first half of 2020, the transaction volumes for secondaries bounced back to record numbers. Most research points to the market reaching or possibly surpassing the $100 billion milestone in 2021.
What are the growth drivers? Along with described benefits for investors, analysts also highlight the rapid diversification of the market. What was once a buyout-dominated marketplace, now offers a plethora of strategies: private credit, real estate, infrastructure, natural resources funds and others.
The market has matured and now caters to a more diverse range of asset bases, allowing for a wider range of participants to access the market. Secondaries have become mainstream and widely accepted portfolio management tools to allocate or rebalance private capital investments.
These are just some of the insights from the recent Moonfare & IQ-EQ report on the secondaries. We welcome you to download the white paper here and read more about:
· The evolution of the secondary market
· The benefits of secondaries
· The top drivers for buyers and sellers
· The rise of GP-led-single-asset deals
· Transaction volumes vs. pricing
· Access to the market
· Secondaries becoming a primary strategy
Each month, you’ll receive the most important private market insights and Moonfare updates – straight to your inbox.
Each month, you’ll receive the most important private market insights and Moonfare updates – straight to your inbox.
Each month, you’ll receive the most important private market insights and Moonfare updates – straight to your inbox.
Important notice: This content is for informational purposes only. Moonfare does not provide investment advice. You should not construe any information or other material provided as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice. If you are unsure about anything, you should seek financial advice from an authorised advisor. Past performance is not a reliable guide to future returns. Don’t invest unless you’re prepared to lose all the money you invest. Private equity is a high-risk investment and you are unlikely to be protected if something goes wrong. Subject to eligibility. Please see https://www.moonfare.com/disclaimers.
Benefit from what institutional investors already know: the greatest shareholder value comes from private markets, and funds like those offered on Moonfare have generated an average IRR of 19% — outperforming the S&P 500 by 13%.*
Sign up now* Past performance is no guarantee of future returns.
Please read this important information. By selecting I AGREE this indicates that you have read and understand the below, before accessing the rest of this website.
This disclaimer is intended for UK readers accessing this website who should be aware that Moonfare cannot guarantee all information displayed on its website will be relevant or suitable for UK audiences. Moonfare cannot guarantee the information contained on its website is up to date, and makes best efforts to ensure it sources and data are accurate at the time of publishing.
The information on this website may not be suitable for all investors and we therefore need to ensure that you are sufficiently aware of the risks and are of a suitable category as defined by the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000.
The information set out in this website does not constitute or form part of any offer to issue or sell, or any solicitation of an offer to subscribe or purchase any investment, nor shall it or the fact of its distribution form the basis of, or be relied on in connection with any contract.